Commodities Led By Energy Increase On Iraq Unrest

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http://ymlp291.net/zADzZD ——————————————————————————– June 22, 2014 Week In Review…


Week In Review For June 16 to June 20, 2014 This week on AllPennyStocks.com:

* Article Published, June 17, 2014: Golden Global Trying to Turn Into a Gold and Silver Producer (http://www.allpennystocks.com/aps_us/special-reports/452/Golden-Global-Trying-to-Turn-Into-a-Gold-and-Silver-Producer.htm) (U.S. Company) * Article Published, June 19, 2014: Posera HDX Signs LOI to Acquire Terminal Management Concepts to Expand its Footprint in EMV Card Business (http://www.allpennystocks.com/aps_ca/special-reports/429/Posera-HDX-Signs-LOI-to-Acquire-Terminal-Management-Concepts-to-Expand-its-Footprint-in-EMV-Card-Business.htm) (CDN Company) * Article Published, June 20, 2014: SpeedEmissions Sells Remaining Stores in Texas in Bid to Get Profitable (http://www.allpennystocks.com/aps_us/special-reports/453/SpeedEmissions-Sells-Remaining-Stores-in-Texas-in-Bid-to-Get-Profitable.htm) (U.S. Company) Video charts for the week:

* June 15th Technical Video Chart For SONS.The chart for Sonus Networks has been holding a steady uptrend since November, including a sharp climb in the last six weeks. The stock made a move to close last week with a volume surge to hold over the 50 day, and now 20 day, moving averages, putting it on radar for continued upward pressure this week. view: ( http://www.youtube.com/watchv=FEQqpF7gxqM ) * June 15th Technical Video Chart For NDM:CA.The chart for Northern Dynasty Minerals fell hard from a high of $1.85 to a low of 67 cents in recent months, but looks to be on the rebound. The chart narrowly pushed through resistance at 94 cents on Friday with an upswing in volume, putting the chart on the watchlist to continue to push towards a resistance at $1.20. view: ( http://www.youtube.com/watchv=Ebw_OiVkjg4 ) ________________________________________________________________ Featured Link: Try the AllPennyStocks.com Pro newsletter / member area free for 14 days. Members receive exclusive Canadian and U.S.

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________________________________________________________________ WEEKLY UPDATE – COMMODITIES BOLSTER CANADIAN EQUITIES AS BATTLES RAGE IN IRAQ, US STOCKS TAKE A BREATHER Stocks in North America busted ahead to new record highs last week, ignoring escalating violence in Iraq and riding a surge in commodities, upbeat economic data on consumer prices, unemployment, factory activity, the housing markets and the words of Fed Chairman Janet Yellen that the US economy continues to strengthen.

Equities traded in a choppy fashion and moved cautiously upward to start the week as the markets digested weekend news that Sunni-led rebels were getting more violent, posting pictures on Twitter, while boasting that they had executed more than 1,700 Shi`ite Iraqi soldiers (note: the reports were not verified). The insurgents, led by the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (often shortened to ISIS) that want a strict Islamic state in Iraq, continued their gun-toting mission to seize cities and move closer to the capital of Baghdad. Reports early in the week showed that the rebels had taken control of the northwest city of Tal Afar.

The Iraq government did not sit idly by, fortifying their capital and killing more than two dozen ISIS fighters. Stateside, all eyes were on President Obama to see what type of intervention will come from the world`s most powerful military. Obama responded by saying that up to 300 members of special operations forces are being sent to Iraq to serves as advisors, while making the point that he is holding back on any air strikes or additional support until he sees a direct threat to US personnel. Obama reiterated his previous comments of no boots on the ground and that US soldiers are not going to fight in Iraq again.

Stocks may have only inched ahead in the first half of the week, but put their track shoes on to sprint into the close on Wednesday after a press conference with Fed chief Yellen put the markets at ease in the afternoon. Yellen announced that the Fed again cut its monthly purchases of bonds by $10 billion in June, continuing a pattern in 2014 to take the asset purchases to $35 billion per month. Yellen indicated that the reductions may become smaller as the year goes on, but most importantly reiterated the main bank`s commitment to support the economy with low interest rates. Yellen said that the key rate will hold near historic lows for a “considerable time” after the end of the asset purchase program. Yellen also said that the Fed is comfortable with the level of the stock market, that the FOMC sees the economy picking up after a sluggish start and that the economy will keep growing at a moderate pace this year, while hinting that she is not concerned with inflation at this moment. Of course, these were basically the exact words that Wall Street wanted to hear, sending stocks to more record highs.

Adding some downward pressure on the markets, the International Monetary Fund cut its 2014 growth estimate for the US to 2.0 percent, down from its April forecast for 2.8 percent growth. The IMF cited brutal winter conditions leading to a sluggish start to the year and a soft housing market as reasons for the revision. 2015`s growth estimate was held at 3 percent.

The resource-heavy Canadian markets had a banner week on rising commodity prices, with the benchmark TSX Composite galloping ahead to a new all-time high. The TSX closed lower (only by 3 points) on Friday, but what a run in the past three weeks the index has had.

Friday was only the second red close in June as part of a rally that has seen the index close green in 14 of the past 16 sessions to rise about 3.6% in the stretch. The smaller Venture exchange may be a long way from record highs, but it was the best performing major North American index last week, surging almost 3 percent to its highest level since mid-March in a run that has seen advances in 12 of the past 14 sessions.

Outside of the markets, the Quebec government said that it is seeking nearly $410 million from the insolvent railway operator Montreal, Maine and Atlantic for its roll in the Lac Megantic rail disaster in 2013 that left 47 people dead and leveled the center of the small town.

The bulls have certainly asserted their will as the final week of the first half of 2014 is upon us. The Toronto markets are rolling. The Dow has a six-day winning streak and printed its 11th record close on Friday. The S&P 500 set a new record high for the 22nd time in 2014 on Friday. The Nasdaq is at its highest level in 14 years. The Canadian economic docket is short this week, but the US will get key info on the housing market, consumer expenditures and gross domestic product. With Iraq on the verge of a full-blown civil war, it is actually a bit surprising to be getting this unwavering bullishness.

Aside from something even more serious coming from the Middle East, it wouldn`t be too big of a shock to see the Dow break 17,000 for the first time ever in the coming days.

The Canadian dollar had a strong week against its US counterpart, rising to the highest level since January, even though analysts continue to remain bearish on the Canadian currency. The loonie has been getting support from the rising price of oil, Canada`s biggest export, but this week was driven by economic data, especially the jump in retail sales and inflation that had investors betting on higher interest rates to come. The loonie and greenback had been rising in tandem against global currencies, but such was not the case this week as the USD was generally weak. The ICE Dollar Index, which measures the greenback against six leading global currencies, fell by 0.26%, marking its first decline in seven weeks. On the week, the Canadian dollar gained 0.92%, or $0.008495, against the USD, meaning next week will begin with one Canadian dollar buying US$0.92956.

Commodity Snapshot:

* Gold futures inched up to start the week as traders weighed optimistic economic data showing factory activity picked-up last month and homebuilder confidence hit its second highest level in 2014 with escalating violence in Iraq. Gold typically rises on geopolitical or military uncertainty, which dovetailed with investor sentiment after the latest FOMC meeting that Fed policy to remain reluctant in raising interest rates may undermine the dollar, sending gold skyrocketing 3.7% to two-month highs during Thursday trading. Gold traded modestly lower heading into the weekend, but that was not enough to stop the precious metal from having one of its best weeks this year. August contracts were the most actively traded on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gaining $42.50, or 3.34%, per ounce to $1,316.60.

* Silver futures ran alongside their higher-priced cousin as a weakening US dollar and international turmoil fueled appetite for safe haven assets. Silver actually bested gold by running to its highest level since mid-March, not slowing from Thursday`s run to add another 1.5% on Friday. Silver had a perfect storm last week drawing strength from its safe haven appeal, rising inflation, a weak USD, economic data that supports future demand for its many industrial uses and a technical move to roar through the $20 mark. Last week, July contracts for silver were the most actively traded, soaring by $1.29, or 6.58%, to $20.949 per ounce.

* Copper futures logged gains every day last week, except for a minor red day on Wednesday, gaining momentum from improving economic data and a softening dollar to close at the highest levels since June 3.

On the London Metal Exchange, copper has risen in six straight sessions, the longest rally since last December. Copper has been under heavy pressure lately because of alleged fraudulent activity in metal-backed financing in China, which had pushed the industrial red metal down in the past three weeks and will likely weigh on outlook going forward. Even with the rise last week, data showed that large investors (i.e. hedge funds, institutions, etc.) raised their short position in New York copper futures by 13 percent. Over the past three weeks, short positions have climbed by 33%, lending to the idea that the rally may not last long or some shorts may get squeezed soon.

July contracts were the most actively traded on New York`s COMEX exchange during the week; adding 9.2 cents, or 3.04 percent, to $3.1215 per pound.

* Oil futures moved higher early in the week after registering gains in excess of 4% in the week prior, as investors continued to monitor the situation in Iraq to make sure that oil-producing regions remain insulated from terrorist activity. While major areas are protected, the markets primary concern is that a long-lasting war will derail Iraq, the second largest oil producing country in OPEC, from hitting production of 6 million barrels per day by 2020. Also of serious concern is that the Sunni extremist group ISIS will move to the south with its militant efforts, regions where the majority of Iraqi oilfields are located. While somewhat unlikely because ISIS would be going headlong into the heartland of Shiite`s, if oil production were interrupted in the south, oil prices could see a rapid rise. Putting some downside pressure on oil prices this past week, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said crude inventories dropped 579,000 barrels in the week ended June 13, way short of analyst estimates of a drop of 1.4 million barrels. Last week, July contracts for West Texas Intermediate Crude were the most actively traded; rising $0.66, or 0.62%, to $106.83 per barrel.

Equity Market Snapshot:

(All percentages on a weekly basis unless otherwise noted) * Major gold miners continued to lead Toronto markets higher.

Agnico-Eagle Mines (TSX:AEM, +10.68%), Yamana Gold (TSX:YRI, +2.11%), Kinross Gold (TSX:K, +3.79%), Goldcorp (TSX:G, +6.73%) and Barrick Gold (TSX:ABX, +3.69%) all posted gains.

* Major energy plays benefited from the continued climb in oil prices. Talisman Energy (NYSE:TLM, +1.60%), Cenovus Energy (NYSE:CVE, +0.95%), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU, +0.54%), Imperial Oil Ltd. (NYSE:IMO, +2.51%), Canadian Natural Resources (NYSE:CNQ, +2.19%), Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM, +1.15%) and Chevron Corp. (NYSE:CVX, +3.99%) logged gains.

XLE, the Energy Select Sector SPDR, rallied for the fifth straight week with an advance of 3.03 percent.

* Oando Energy Resources Inc. (TSX:OER, +51.72%) announced receipt of the consent of the Nigerian government for the acquisition of the Nigerian Upstream Oil and Gas Business of ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP, +2.74%) for a total cash consideration of $1.65 billion.

* Suncor Energy and five industry partners announced an estimated $165 million funding commitment to sanction the construction of a dedicated Water Technology Development Centre (WTDC), which will be located on Suncor`s Firebag oilsands facility in western Canada. The WTDC will test water treatment and be used to develop additional water recycling technologies.

* The biggest of banks in the US were mostly ahead. JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM, +0.89%), Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE:WFC, +1.91%), Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS, +2.38%) and Bank of America (NYSE:BAC, +0.13%) ended with a green week, but UBS AG (NYSE:UBS, -1.91%) and Citigroup (NYSE:C, -0.53%) lost some ground. XLF (NYSE:XLF, +1.37%), the financial select sector SPDR that tracks the financial stocks in the S&P 500, regained its winning ways after snapping a three-week win streak a week earlier.

* Canada`s biggest banks, the most heavily weighted component of the TSX Composite, were mostly stronger. Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD, +1.14%), Bank of Nova Scotia (TSX:BNS, +0.54%), Bank of Montreal (TSX:BMO, +1.09%) and Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (TSX:CM, +0.31%) stepped up, while Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY, -0.35%) and National Bank of Canada (TSX:NA, -0.76%) slipped a bit.

* Medical technology heavyweight Medtronic Inc. (NYSE:MDT, +5.21%) agreed to buy Ireland-based Covidien PLC (NYSE:COV, +25.12%) in a cash and stock deal that values Covidien at $42.9 billion, a 29% premium to the day prior closing price. As part of the deal, Medtronic will re-domicile the company in Ireland, which will lower its tax rate, a move called a “tax inversion.” * UK-based medical marijuana biotech GW Pharma (NASDAQ:GWPH, 20.37%) shares jumped to an all-time high after reporting that patients with treatment-resistant epilepsy benefited from its cannabinoid drug Epidiolex, showing a reduction in seizure frequency of greater than 50 percent after 12 weeks of therapy. Epidiolex is given as a strawberry-lime flavored syrup twice a day.

* Valeant Pharmaceuticals (TSX:VRX, +1.78%) went hostile in its $53-billion takeover attempt of Botox-maker Allergan (NYSE:AGN, +2.18%), sending a proxy to shareholders and calling for the replacement of Allergan board members with members that are supportive of the merger. The debate over the proposed deal reached new heights last week, with Allergan unveiling excerpts from emails written by senior bankers at Morgan Stanley calling Valeant`s business model a “house of cards.” To put the bold move of Allergan into context, understand that Morgan Stanley said this as it was first proposing to work on a defense of the takeover attempt with Allergan, but then jumped ship to take a contract working with Valeant, now talking out of the other side of its mouth and purporting the strength of Valeant.

* Aiming to boost sales of its enterprise solid-state products, SanDisk Corp. (NASDAQ:SNDK, +3.56%) agreed to acquire data storage company Fusion-io Inc. (NYSE:FIO, +25.97%) for $11.25 per share in an all-cash deal that values Fusion-io at about $1.21 billion, including debt. The deal was a 21% premium to the prior day`s closing price of shares of FIO.

* Smart Technologies Inc. (TSX:SMA, +3.26%) unveiled its not SMART kapp digital whiteboard at InfoComm in Las Vegas and announced that 13 of its North American resellers have been named select partners with a 90-day sole right to sell the digital capture board in North America.

Initial MSRP suggests an $899 price tag.

* For-profit education company Corinthian College (NASDAQ:COCO, -59.26%) saw shares nosedive after warning that it may need to shut down after the US government drastically slashed its access to federal money for student loans and grants and raised its scrutiny of the company`s job placement rates.

* German engineering giant Siemens AG (OTCQX:SIEGY, +1.90%) may have derailed the efforts of General Electric (NYSE:GE, +0.56%) by offering France-based rival Alstom SA $5.3 billion for its gas turbine business. GE had already offered Alstom $17 billion to buy all of its energy business. GE came back and refined its bid, which was then followed by Siemens (and Japanese partner Mitsubishi Heavy) upping their offer to $19.9 billion in a bidding war that has now drawn the attention of the French government.

* Shares of Waterloo, Ontario-based BlackBerry (TSX:BB, +22.64%) had all kinds of reasons to rise last week. For starters, the company surprised analysts with an adjusted loss of only 11 cents per share last quarter, much better than the loss of 26 cents per share that was forecast. The smartphone maker also agreed to a deal with Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN, -0.63%) that permits BlackBerry to offer some 240,000 Android applications from Amazon`s app store on its lineup of BlackBerry 10 devices this fall. Further, BlackBerry told the world “it ain`t dead yet,” with CEO John Chen showing two new smartphones that are coming, including the BlackBerry Passport. The new Passport features a 4.5-inch touchscreen, physical keyboard and 1440×1440 resolution, putting it into the category dubbed a “phablet” that is becoming popular with consumers.

* Speaking of Amazon, the company unveiled a new product of its own.

Branded the Fire Phone, a high-end 3-D smartphone, it is the first phone Amazon has ever produced on its own.

* Network and data center operator Level 3 Communications Inc.

(NYSE:LVLT, +1.41%) said it is paying $5.7 billion in cash and stock to acquire business ethernet provider TW Telecom (NASDAQ:TWTC, +12.36%). Level 3 will also assume $1.6 billion in debt, bringing the value of the transaction to $7.3 billion. The deal values shares of TWTC at $40.86 and translates to shareholders receiving $10 in cash and 0.7 shares of LVLT for each share of TWTC owned.

* In the IPO space, Markit Ltd. (NASDAQ:MRKT), which provides information on bonds and derivatives for traders and is considered a rival of sorts to Bloomberg, made its move into the public domain, raising $1.3 billion in its IPO by selling shares at $24. The stock rumbled ahead to as high as $27.45 before settling at $26.95 in its first two days of trading.

Weekly Indices Results:

The S&P TSX Composite Index vaulted to a new record high, advancing for the third straight week by adding 107.36 points, or 0.72%, to 15,108.97. The TSX-Venture Composite Index advanced for the third straight week as well, growing by 28.99 points, or 2.91%, to 1,026.32.

In the States, the Dow Jones Industrial Average regained its traction after a down week to make a new all-time high, tacking-on 171.34 points, or 1.02%, to 16,947.08. The much-broader S&P 500 followed suit, rising 26.71 points, or 1.38%, to close at 1,962.87. The tech-rich NASDAQ Composite was also strong, appreciating by 57.38 points, or 1.33%, to 4,368.04.

Canadian Economic Data:

* Foreign investment in Canadian securities resumed in April as non-residents added $10.1 billion to their holdings, marking the highest such acquisition in a year, according to Statistics Canada.

At the same time, Canadian investment in foreign securities slowed to $2.5 billion. Foreign investment in Canadian debt securities was $6.5 billion in April, following a $4.3 billion divestment in March.

Non-resident investors continued to shift their portfolios in favor of Canadian corporate debt securities, and reduced their holdings of government debt instruments for a ninth straight month.

* The Canadian Real Estate Association reported that home sales through its Multiple Listing Service were up by 5.9 percent in May from April. Compared to May 2013, home sales advanced 4.8 percent.

The national average for a home sold in May was up 7.1 percent year-over-year to $416,584. Meanwhile, CREA shaved its outlook for 2014, forecasting sales to rise 1.2 percent from 2013 to 463,000 homes, compared to a previous estimate of 463,700 homes projected in March.

* Stat Can reported that the number of people receiving regular Employment Insurance benefits totaled 517,100 in April, up slightly (+1.1% or +5,600) from March. The agency noted that the number of beneficiaries has been relatively unchanged for almost a year, following a long-term downward trend that began in the summer of 2009.

Quebec (+4.3%), Nova Scotia (+2.7%) and New Brunswick (+1.3%) saw increases in the number of beneficiaries, while Newfoundland and Labrador (-2.1%) posted a decline. There was little change in the other provinces.

* The nation`s number-crunchers also reported that wholesale sales rose 1.2% to $51.2 billion in April following a decline in March.

Higher sales were recorded in all subsectors except for food, beverage and tobacco (-0.9%). In volume terms, wholesale sales were up 1.2%.

The largest gain in April was in the building material and supplies subsector (+3.6%), which rose for a fourth consecutive month to reach $7.4 billion, followed by the machinery, equipment and supplies subsector, rising 2.2% to $10.8 billion.

* Stats Can also said that April was a strong month for stores, as retail sales increased for the fourth consecutive month in April, advancing 1.1% to $41.6 billion. Gains were widespread as 10 of 11 subsectors, representing 98% of retail trade, posted increases.

Notably, a 2.4% increase at motor vehicle and parts dealers accounted for the largest gain among all subsectors. Receipts at food and beverage stores (+0.6%) increased for the fifth consecutive month, on the strength of higher sales at beer, wine and liquor stores (+2.1%).

In volume terms, retail sales increased 0.8%.

* Lastly, Stat Can reported that the Consumer Price Index rose 2.3% in the 12 months to May, following a 2.0% increase in April and led by energy prices, which increased 8.4% in the past year, matching the rise in April. Prices for gasoline increased 6.3% in the 12 months to May, while natural gas prices advanced 21.3%. Excluding energy, the CPI advanced 1.7% year over year in May, after rising 1.4% the previous month.

This week, major economic data reports will only include the Industrial Product Price Index and Raw Materials Price Index on Friday.

U.S. Economic Data:

* The Federal Reserve showed that industrial production rebounded more than expected in May, expanding 0.6% during the month after slumping 0.3% in April, exceeding economist predictions for a 0.5% gain. In March, industrial production advanced 0.8%, according to revised figures. Mining output helped lead the gains with a 1.3% advance in May, while manufacturing output rose 0.6%. Utilities output countered the gains by falling 0.8%. Compared to May 2013, industrial production grew 4.3%. Capacity utilization, a measure of how much resources factories are using, rose to 79.1% from a revised 78.9% in April.

* The Consumer Price Index increased 0.4 percent in May on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. It was the largest jump in the CPI since February 2013.

Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.1 percent before seasonal adjustment, rising above the Fed`s target of 2.0% inflation. The rise was broad-based, including the food index posting its biggest gain since August 2011. The index for all items less food and energy, so-called “core CPI,” rose 0.3 percent in May, its largest increase since August 2011.

* The Commerce Department reported that housing starts slipped by 6.5 percent in May from April to an annual rate of 1 million units, in line with economist expectations. In April, the rate was 1.07 million homes. While the rate of groundbreaking was slower than the month prior, holding over the one-million mark is a sign that the housing market is gaining traction after a sluggish start to the year. On the downside, building permits, a proxy of future building plans, fell by 6.4% to an annual rate of 991,000 after holding above one million for the prior three months. However, the decrease was mostly attributable to the volatile multi-family segment.

* The Labor Department said that initial jobless claims, a proxy of weekly layoffs, dropped 1.9 percent to 312,000 in the week ended June 14, only slightly lower than the 313,000 economists predicted and essentially in line with forecasts given the that prior week`s figure was upwardly revised by 1,000. The four-week moving average, a less volatile measure of the labor market, declined to 311,750, marking the fifth time in six weeks that the one-month average dropped lower week-over-week. Economists generally consider claims beneath 350,000 as a sign of an improving labor market.

* The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia reported that manufacturing in the region strengthened for the fourth straight month in June. The Business Outlook Survey, or Philly Fed Survey as it`s often called, rose to 17.8 in June from 15.4 in May, handily beating expectations of a fall to 14.0 and marking the highest level for the survey since September. Inside the headline figure, the index for prices paid jumped 12 points to 35, representing the highest level since July 2011. More than half of the respondents in the survey said that they expect production to further accelerate in the second half of the year.

This week, data in the States will include Existing Home Sales on Monday; New Home Sales on Tuesday; Durable Goods Orders and Gross Domestic Product on Wednesday; and Initial Jobless Claims and Personal Income and Outlays on Thursday.

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