Gold Bull Run Just Getting Started; New Gold Play Coming On Tuesday!

StockLockandLoad Newsletter

* Italic [1]StockLockandLoad.com NEWSLETTER Members, Gold Bull Run Just Getting Started; New Gold Play Coming On Tuesday! [2]Gold Bull Why The Gold Bull May Be Ready to Charge The price of gold has made an incredible 500% + move over the past decade, from just under $300 per ounce in 2001 to over $1,500 per ounce in 2011. Over this same time period, the Standard and Poors 500 Index (S&P 500) has only moved from the 1,200 range to the 1,300 range, which is only an 8% move higher, with a lot of volatility that twice sent the S&P 500 more than 33% lower to below the 800 level.

After such a substantial move higher in the price of gold, the question must be asked if gold can move even higher While nobody knows the definitive answer to such a question, there are many indications from both the supply and demand side of the gold price equation that the decade long bull run in gold may be just getting started.

Like any commodity, there are many forces that affect the price of gold, from currency fluctuations to political instability in gold mining countries.

However, when all the noise is discounted, the price of gold is ultimately set by supply and demand fundamentals. While gold market participants often focus on gold demand factors, which we will discuss shortly, they often neglect the supply side of the gold price equation, which may be the most important factor in continuing the gold bull run higher.

On the gold supply side, there are indications that worldwide gold production already peaked a decade ago. In other words, gold may have already reached its maximum rate of global extraction, and the rate of global gold production may have entered a terminal decline.

In 2009, Aaron Regent, the President of the largest gold mining company in the world, Barrick Gold, said gold production has been declining for ten years and it is time to acknowledge that the peak in world gold production has occurred.

According to Mr. Regent, global gold production output has been declining by approximately 1 Million ounces per year since the year 2000. This peak and subsequent decline in gold production may help explain the 500% increase in the price of gold over the past decade. More importantly, this gold production peak may be the primary reason why the gold bull run will continue, as annual gold production decreases and supplies get tighter.

On the gold demand side, there appears to be increasing interest in owning gold for a variety of reasons. It is well known that many governments in the developed world are dealing with massive budget deficits and slow economies.

This has resulted in loose money polices and increases in money supply, which have weakened fiat currencies such as the United States Dollar. Such moves have understandably unnerved investors regarding their holdings in fiat currencies and made them look for hard assets to invest their savings in. In the history of mankind, there has never been a harder asset than gold, as it has been used for trading and investing since nearly the dawn of civilization. Many savvy investors have put a portion of their savings into gold as a hedge against fiat currency devaluation and inflation.

Gold Bull Run Fundamentals There are also fundamental forces that are driving demand for gold higher that should sustain the gold bull run and push the price of gold even higher than current levels.

The world population continues to grow, and it is not only growing in size but also it is growing in wealth. Countries from Brazil to China to India are undergoing massive economic changes that are literally allowing hundreds of millions of people to enter the middle class. These new middle class consumers want luxuries such as jewelry made from gold. This is not an insignificant demand factor, as two-thirds of annual gold demand is from the jewelry industry. Industrial, dental, and medical uses for gold total just over 10% of gold demand, and all of these uses are increasing in emerging markets, as newly middle class consumers demand better lifestyles.

Central banks in developing countries are accumulating gold. Countries such as Russia, China, and India are diversifying their new wealth by increasing their central banks gold reserves. Since these central banks have a lot of catching up to do to reach the gold reserve levels of developed countries such as the United States, continued buying pressure in the gold markets from central banks is likely in coming years.

While world stability is always a concern, such concerns have been heightened in recent years, as countries such as Iran develop nuclear weapons. These growing concerns regarding world stability also drive demand for gold, as investors look for safe places to put their savings during troubled times.

The supply and demand forces that dictate the price of gold appear to be aligned for a sustained move higher and a continuation of the current gold bull run. Buying gold is only one way to take advantage of the gold bull. There are many companies, from junior gold mining companies to major gold mining and production companies that will benefit from a continued increase in the price of gold. The key is to identify these gold companies before they also make a run higher.

SL&L found a GOLD BULL that looks ready to run…

SL&L will be releasing our NEWEST GOLD PLAY…

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